Tag Archives: system bias

Gambling FAQ, Frequently Asked Questions Part 2

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Gambling FAQ, Frequently Asked Questions Part 2

1. How Can I Count Cards and Win Baccarat?

Baccarat is the only casino game with skewed binomial distribution.

Here, the assumption is that you are familiar with the third card rule in baccarat and that you are playing the traditional 5% baccarat. You have already seen how you can count cards and win in tie bet.

How professionals win in tie bet in baccarat

If you want to count cards and win in baccarat, firstly you have to understand symmetrical play and aymmetrical play in baccarat. Read this post carefully.

How to track odds in baccarat and other common casino games

The keypoint is you are going to win the majority of your banker bets when banker stand or draw on four and five points. You also have some advantage albeit less when banker stand or draw on three and six points.

Because you can play very few tie bets and asymmetrical banker bets, you can combine both and win baccarat as a standee. I will address the individual cards scenarios in a separate post.

2. How Can I Win Baccarat Long Term?

The easiest way to win baccarat long term is to bet bankers only. See this post.

How to win in baccarat as a tourist

Baccarat is the only casino game with skewed binomial distribution.

Banker has a natural bias, very much like bias wheel in roulette where historically professionals have seized the opportunity to make millions betting on the bias
quadrant. Casinos have taken the winning player to court on the grounds that betting on non-random or unequal outcome voids all play. However, the court held that players have the right in law to bet this way. It is the responsilibity of the casinos to mend the wheel.

Banker wins 103 times for every 100 times that player win. But the casino takes away 5% such that banker effectively wins 98 times for every 100 times player win. (103 minus 5 equal 98). To compensate for that you have to create a mini d’alenberg system. This is described in the bet banker only post. Each pair will give you 1 unit win. This can easily cover the 5% commission on banker.

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3. How Can I Win Baccarat 100%?

You can win 100% if you learn how to play with any of these methods.

(a) Bet banker only mini system
(b) Bet tie towards the end of the shoe
(c) Methods that create system bias. I will address this in a separate post.

4. I want to know more about belief system in gambling.

To win in gambling is never easy. The three major belief systems that fuel addictive gambling are systems, lady luck and money management.

Almost all systems are big losers as the saying, the house love system players. However, as you have seen, it is possible to create system bias to win 100% of your series. Some historical examples are HP Johnson Guaranteed System and Arthur Irwin Bruce Midas Touch System.

Lady luck is subjective, open to varied interpretation. However, if you look at it objectively, it is actually variance or standard deviation in statistical terms.

Money management is an elusive subject. The house very often reward you for your table front money because the casino knows you are going to lose out of proportion to your modest wins. If you play to win, you will find that money management has a dual purpose, either to cover you through variance and to protect you by passing the problem area to the time parameter or even both depending on the method you play. In other words, money management must cover you until you reach your target win percentage. In my opinion, a 40% target percentage is optimal for balanced play. Forty percent is a magic number. More on this in my subsequent post.

5. Can you tell me something on chasing lady luck in gambling.

Chasing lady luck in gambling is a kind of gambling tilt. The predispoing factors are your belief system in lady luck as well as the psychological flicks in win-lose situations. The precipitating factors or triggers are misses and near misses especially in slot machines and jackpots.

frequently asked questions

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How to modify labourche system to create system bias to win in gambling

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Labourche System

Labourche system by itself is a bad system. It is a losing system. In a nutshell, you start off with any series of numbers.

For example, 1,2,3 or 1,1,1 or 1,1,1,2,2,3,3,4,4.

You bet the sum of the first and last numbers. If lost, you add the number as a single number at the end of the series. If won you cancelled off the numbers. When you have cancelled all the numbers you win the series. You will win the series whenever you win 34% of the bets. However, the weakness is the string can get very long and the numbers get very big. These two factors cause the labourche system to fail.

I have adapted labourche system by taking three numbers instead of two. I always take the first, last and middle numbers. If won I cancel off the three numbers. If lost I split the numbers into two and add them at the end of the string.

For example, my string is

1,1,1,2,2,3,3,4,4,5,5

I will take the first, last and any middle numbers and bet 1+5+3=9. If won, the string becomes

1,1,2,2,3,4,4,5

If lost the string becomes

1,1,1,2,2,3,3,4,4,5,5,…4,5

After losing the three numbers, I play two numbers the first and any middle number. If won I go back to three numbers. If I win the three numbers I continue to play the three numbers until the series is cleared. If I lose the three-number bet, I play the two-number bet. If lost I play one-number bet. If won the one-number bet (always the first number) I play three numbers, not two numbers. The idea is to slow down losing streak and make sure that recovery is fast. In order to prevent the first number getting too large, I always split the first number into two numbers whenever the first number is three units or larger.

For example, after playing some time the series becomes

3, 5, 7, 9.

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1,2, 5, 7, 9

This modification gives a much better result than pure labourche but still not enough to win. You will win if you win 40% of the bets. In my opinion 40% is the magic number. After deducting the casino odds, you still have a decent win.

Let’s assume you push it up to 50%. Fifty percent is actually flat bet. Let’s now assume that you flat bet. At 50% win-lose, you will lose the odds, so you need to win about 55% in order to have a net win. Nobody has achieved this feat of winning more times consistently based on the random theory. The display chart in baccarat and roulette is random theory.

Biased wheel in roulette or card counting is not random theory. Historically, you have seen professionals making a fortune from exploiting biased theory. Now, is it possible to create bias using system. I want you to think about.

If you play labourche system mechanically, you are creating bias for the casino, in favour of the casino not you. When you play labourche system mechanically, you will lose out of proportion to your modest wins in addition to the casino odds. Indeed, a big loser.

Is it possible to reverse it. Think about it!

Norman Leigh taught it is possible to create playing system to reverse the system bias in favour of the player. So, he played reverse labourche as documented in the book “Thirteen Against the Bank”.

Modern casino realize that it is possible for players to win out of proportion to their modest loss, so they cap it by setting table limits. By doing that, your occasional big win out of proportion to your modest win is no longer a win due to system bias but rather due to a typical jackpot win where the casinos still enjoy the odds.

Let’s assume now you escalate on winning. When you escalate on winning, you lose all alternate bets. You will lose even if you win more times, even when you win more than 50% of the bets because the casino also take your highest stake. You win only if the way go your way.

I have perfected this labourche system such that you will win 100% of the time. Subscribe to my 10 day gambling course if you are keen to know how I do it. Just key in your name and email in the subscription form in your top right. You need to verify by clicking the link in your email because it is a double optin autoresponder.

labourche system

labourche system