Gambling FAQ, Frequently Asked Questions Part 2

1. How Can I Count Cards and Win Baccarat?

Baccarat is the only casino game with skewed binomial distribution.

Here, the assumption is that you are familiar with the third card rule in baccarat and that you are playing the traditional 5% baccarat. You have already seen how you can count cards and win in tie bet.

How professionals win in tie bet in baccarat

If you want to count cards and win in baccarat, firstly you have to understand symmetrical play and aymmetrical play in baccarat. Read this post carefully.

How to track odds in baccarat and other common casino games

The keypoint is you are going to win the majority of your banker bets when banker stand or draw on four and five points. You also have some advantage albeit less when banker stand or draw on three and six points.

Because you can play very few tie bets and asymmetrical banker bets, you can combine both and win baccarat as a standee. I will address the individual cards scenarios in a separate post.

2. How Can I Win Baccarat Long Term?

The easiest way to win baccarat long term is to bet bankers only. See this post.

How to win in baccarat as a tourist

Baccarat is the only casino game with skewed binomial distribution.

Banker has a natural bias, very much like bias wheel in roulette where historically professionals have seized the opportunity to make millions betting on the bias
quadrant. Casinos have taken the winning player to court on the grounds that betting on non-random or unequal outcome voids all play. However, the court held that players have the right in law to bet this way. It is the responsilibity of the casinos to mend the wheel.

Banker wins 103 times for every 100 times that player win. But the casino takes away 5% such that banker effectively wins 98 times for every 100 times player win. (103 minus 5 equal 98). To compensate for that you have to create a mini d’alenberg system. This is described in the bet banker only post. Each pair will give you 1 unit win. This can easily cover the 5% commission on banker.

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3. How Can I Win Baccarat 100%?

You can win 100% if you learn how to play with any of these methods.

(a) Bet banker only mini system
(b) Bet tie towards the end of the shoe
(c) Methods that create system bias. I will address this in a separate post.

4. I want to know more about belief system in gambling.

To win in gambling is never easy. The three major belief systems that fuel addictive gambling are systems, lady luck and money management.

Almost all systems are big losers as the saying, the house love system players. However, as you have seen, it is possible to create system bias to win 100% of your series. Some historical examples are HP Johnson Guaranteed System and Arthur Irwin Bruce Midas Touch System.

Lady luck is subjective, open to varied interpretation. However, if you look at it objectively, it is actually variance or standard deviation in statistical terms.

Money management is an elusive subject. The house very often reward you for your table front money because the casino knows you are going to lose out of proportion to your modest wins. If you play to win, you will find that money management has a dual purpose, either to cover you through variance and to protect you by passing the problem area to the time parameter or even both depending on the method you play. In other words, money management must cover you until you reach your target win percentage. In my opinion, a 40% target percentage is optimal for balanced play. Forty percent is a magic number. More on this in my subsequent post.

5. Can you tell me something on chasing lady luck in gambling.

Chasing lady luck in gambling is a kind of gambling tilt. The predispoing factors are your belief system in lady luck as well as the psychological flicks in win-lose situations. The precipitating factors or triggers are misses and near misses especially in slot machines and jackpots.

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