Tag Archives: HP Johnson

Understanding variance and ‘not encountered’

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Understanding variance and not encountered

This post will help you to understand the rules of variance, the concept of ‘not encountered‘, and how to use this understanding to create system bias to win in games with negative expectation.

Games with negative expectations are beatable if the casino rules allow sufficient bet spread. If you rely on ‘not encountered‘ to create system bias to win, you will win 100% of your set of series. All methods that rely on ‘not encountered’ to win require a huge bankroll to win as little as you can.

In my opinion, these methods are not suitable for everybody. It is also not suitable as a source of money. It is more to brag, show-off or self-gratification. It is more like what Neil Armstrong said when he landed on the moon, A Small Step for A Man, A Big Leap in Mankind.

The greatest drawback of this approach is that it is not scalable. It is also prone to casino counter-measures. You have to win as little as you can. I have already explained this in one of my post. Check it out.

How to win in regular casino games.

Remember, learning from this post is more important than actual playing and actual winning. It is the foundation of professional gambling.

To understand variance and ‘not encountered‘, you must have a thorough understanding of these two rules.

Rule 1 : Rule of Percentage Swing

Rules of percentage swing said that the percentage swing decreases proportional to the number of bets. In the short run, when you play very few bets, you can encounter 1 wins 18 losses out of 19 bets, or 1 win 24 losses out of 25 bets for a net loss of 17 and 23 times respectively. In terms of percentage it is 1700% and 2300%. But it is impossible to encounter 10 wins and 180 losses out of 190 bets or 10 wins and 240 losses out of 250 bets. This ratio does not happen. Losing 180 out of 190 and losing 230 out of 240 bets are not encountered. In other words, this is the concept of ‘not encountered’. As you can see, it is indeed, a very reliable concept.

Rule 2: Rules of Absolute Swing

Rules of absolute swing said that the net absolute number of loss bets increases in proportion to the increase in the number of bets. If you play flat bet 2200 times, you can encounter 1000 wins and 1200 losses, a net loss of 200 times, but only 20% out. But the absolute number of bets lost is now 200 times, no more 17 times or 23 times. In other words, the percentage decreases to a low percentage of 20%, no more 1700% and 2300% as in rule 1.

So a system that wins 40% of the even-odd bets to conclude a series will always catch up and win. I describe this as smart chasing of losses. Whenever you win 40% of the bets and lose 60% of the bets, you will conclude the series with a decent win. You will notice that win 40% of the bets and lose 60% of the bets is 50% out. You will also notice that between rule 1 and rule 2 the absolute swing goes from 17 and 23 to 200, and the percentage swings drop from thousands (1700% and 2300%) to 20%.

To create system bias to win in gambling, your methods must be able to handle the problem areas in both rule 1 and rule 2 with ease, yet come out with decent wins.
First, you have to define your target percentage. I find winning 40% of the bets is optimal and more balanced play. You conclude your series whenever you win 40% of the bets. However, you can target any other number like 35% or 45%.

You will also notice that when you play cancellation methods, you will usually conclude many series with relative ease, then suddenly come one problem series. Your goal here is to play a set of six series simultaneously so that the problem of the problem series will be passed over to the easier series when you re-balance the scale every now and then. You will continue to do this until you win 40% of the bets. When that happen, you conclude your series with win goal achieved.

When enough bets are made, the win-lose ratio always gravitate towards 50%, so you will always get your 40%. Fourty percent is ideal for decent wins because for every set of 50% win-lose you will win 10% minus casino odds. However, the number of bets you take to win will vary depending on the percentage of bets that you win. If you win 55% of the bets, you will win with fewer bets. If you win 45% of the bets, you will take longer and win with more bets.
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Here are the four methods that satisfy both rule 1 and rule 2 for a 100% win.

1. HP Johnson Guaranteed System satisfied the criteria for rule 1 and rule 2

http://www.gamblinghelp.biz/wpblog/?p=310

2. Arthur Irwin Bruce Midas Touch System also satisfy the criteria for rule 1 and rule 2

How The Late Arthur Irwin Bruce was Barred from the Five Largest Casinos in the UK:

How to modify labourche system to create system bias to win in gambling

3. The classical Monte Carlo roulette system also satisfy the criteria for rule 1 and rule 2. Remember I use this system to win $160,000 over 10 months. I will elaborate more on this in a separate post.

Smart Chasing of Losses: How I win $160,000 over ten months

4. I have also modified the fibonacci system to win $1000 over 2000 bets playing $10 baccarat machine in Resort World Sentosa, Singapore. The win rate is 50 cents per bet. I will elaborate more on this in a separate post.

You can also combine a number of systems that synergize with one another.

KEY POINTS

1. Games with negative expectations are beatable if the casino rules allow sufficient bet spread.
2. You must understand rules of percentage swing and rules of absolute swing before you can understand the concept of not encountered.
3. It is possible to create system bias to win 100% of the series in games with negative expectation
4. HP Johnson Guaranteed System and Arthur Irwin Bruce Midas System are known historically to beat games of negative expectations.

not encountered

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Gambling FAQ, Frequently Asked Questions Part 1

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Gambling FAQ, Frequently Asked Questions Part 1

This GAMBLING FAQ post is my response to the keywords used by searchers to visit this blog, gamblinghelp.biz. I have re-phrased the keywords for clarity of presentation.
Sixty percent of the traffic came from United States, 30% from UK. About 9% from Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Spain, Sweden, Hong Kong , Korea and Japan. Surprisingly, less than 1% came from Malaysia and Singapore.

1. What is the purpose of this blog, gamblinghelp.biz?

In a nutshell, gamblinghelp.biz promotes responsible gambling. Gamblinghelp provides free gambling courses to help gamblers in recreational gambling, professional gambling, quit gambling.

The goal is to improve peoples’ life with or without gambling.

I repeat “improve peoples’ life with or without gambling”.

2. Can you tell me more about the late Arthur Irwin Bruce, his auto-biography and the gambling system he played?

It is generally acknowledged that Arthur Irwin Bruce is one of the most talented professional gambler during his era. Arthur Irwin Bruce was a dental technician before he took up professional gambling. He died a tragic death when he was shot by his step-son.

Basically, he played a modified form of split labourche. His remarkable success resulted in all the five largest casinos in UK barred him from play. He then set up sixty schools throughout United States to teach people how to gamble. It was said that the fund to set up the sixty schools came from his casino winnings.

You may have seen his video presentation where he demonstrated his play known as the midas touch system. He said his win rate is 100%. However, I found that his video demonstration is incomplete. He did not explain whether he took loss when losing streak hit his bankroll limit. In particular, he did not explain how he handle the big numbers in his series.

In my opinion, you can win 100% of the time if you know how to use HP Johnson Guaranteed System to split the big numbers.

Read more

How The Late Arthur Irwin Bruce was Barred from the Five Largest Casinos in the UK

3. Who is HP Johnson? We want to know more about his work.

HP Johnson is a professional roulette player. His remarkable success is documented in the method he invented. He claimed the success rate is 100%. Loss of a series is not encountered in several years of play in international casinos throughout the world. Stakes never go higher than what he capped.

He described his HP Johnson Guaranteed Roulette as 100% success rate. Not a single losing series. He personally guarantee your success but wants 10% of the profit. I have tested, modified and played HP Johnson system for many years on and off. My result is also 100%. Very often, I modify his sytem or combine with other systems, the result is still 100%. Indeed, it is the greatest system I have ever come across. Simply awesome, amazing, fantastic! No words can describe. However, HP Johnson never became famous. Not many people have heard of him.

Unlike Arthur Irwin Bruce who became famous because of three major events that drew public attention. First, he was barred from the five largest casinos in UK. Second, he set up 60 Gambling Schools throughout United States to teach peole how to win with his Midas Touch System. Third, he died a tragic death when he was shot by his step-son.

Read more

How I won US$350 despite losing 31 times

4. Can you tell me more about the psychodynamic theory of gambling?

Psychodynamic theory of gambling can be used to explain why gambling is highly addictive. The addictive effects arise as a result of the psychological flicks created by win-lose situations as well as misses and near misses. Psychodynamic theory can also be used to explain gambling tilt. An important application of psychodynamic theory is cognitive behaviour therapy used by psychiatrists and counsellors to treat compulsive gamblers. Many professional gamblers also know how to use psychodynamic theory to help them to stay off gambling tilt.

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PSYCHODYNAMIC THEORY OF GAMBLING TILT http://www.gamblinghelp.biz/wpblog/?p=961

5. Who is Sigmund Freud and who is Carl Jung?

Both are researchers and practising psychiatrists. In short you can consider Sigmund Freud as the father of psychodynamics and Carl Jung as the top disciple or follower of Sigmund Freud. Their theories can be used to explain the behaviour of gamblers.

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PSYCHODYNAMIC THEORY OF GAMBLING TILT

6. Who are the social scientists on gambling?

When social scientists do research work on any topic, they generally use a qualitative research methodology. The three most popular methods are grounded theory, ethnography and narrative readings. Ground theory is the brainchild of Glaser and Strauss. However, Hochschild, the emeritus professor of sociolgy from the Universty of California, Berkeley introduced “emotion work” to explain gambling tilt.

Read more

Social Science Theory of Gambling Tilt

http://www.gamblinghelp.biz/wpblog/?p=951

7. What about ego and gambling?

Ego is one of the important elements of psychodynamic theory. Ego and gambling is primarily the reason why all gamblers go on tilt.

Read more

GAMBLING TILT PART 1

HOW PROFESSIONALS STAY OFF GAMBLING TILT

FIVE TIPS TO AVOID GAMBLING TILT

FURTHER DISCUSSION ON GAMBLING TILT

Gamblinghelp FAQ

thumbnail Gamblinghelp FAQ

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Negative Expectation Games Versus Positive Expectation Games

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Negative expectation games versus positive expectation games.

Whenever I present any system with negative expectation, I always got attacked by fellow players.

Sure, all system with negative expectations are vulnerable. In fact, extremely vulnerable.

This is the reason why I always recommend games or situations with positive expectations.

With positive expectations helping you, the winning mechanism is so stable and powerful.

If the game has positive expectation, you start off with the lowest limit. The positive expectation will help you to make the money.

Then you move up one level. If you start by losing, your positive expectation will come to your rescue.
Then you move one level up again.

All games with negative expectations are not suitable for long term play. You cannot play the same way like above. You have to hit and run.

However, you can manipulate it in certain way such that losing streak is not encountered.

Allow me to make this hypothetical assumption: This is very important. Bear with me until you read twice.

Look at this martindale series.

Please do not attack me. I am trying to explain hypothetically the concept that NOT ENCOUNTERED is different from HOLY GRAIL.

1,2,4,8,16,32,64,128………….up to 26 times

Assuming it is possible to play this way. Then you can assume that you are unlikely to lose in a lifetime of play.

If say, ten thousand players play this way, then it is very likely that one will lose in a lifetime of play.

THIS HYPOTHESIS ILLUSTRATES THE MEANING THAT LOSING STREAK IS NOT ENCOUNTERED.

Now, we take a look at the problem with this system.

When you lose 26 times in a row your loss is way out of proportion to your win.

And when you win, you win a miserable one unit at a time.

So, how do you optimize this martindale string such that you will not lose way out of proportion to your win
and your win is not a miserable one unit at a time.

All professional methods dealing with smart chasing of losses all uses this aspect of optimization.

You just have to follow my blog. Slowly I will illustrate one system after another the concepts used by professional until you become crystal clear about this concept.

Back to our martindale numbers. In order to optimize, we want to do this.

When we win we want our unit to be higher not one unit.
When we lose we want our large numbers to be much smaller.
And we also want to maintain that we do not need to hit more times to win, just like in martindale.

Then next step, how to optimize such that we get the scenario with these three elements.

HP Johnson has done a good job.

By fixing an optimal string,

5 5 5 5 5 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 45

we can start off by losing 31 times followed by 7 wins and we won 430. Ratio of 4.4 loss to one win. Amazing. This method of play does not have the problem of martindale yet has the power of martindale.

And our high stakes is never high because we split the number when it gets too high. If we are hit by adverse run at this point, our string gets longer and longer. That means we keep splitting our numbers into more numbers.

When there are many numbers like 50 numbers, distribution gives you enormous power to weaken the effect of extreme adverse run. You get the best of both worlds.

Adverse runs can never get you, yet you have the power of martindale.

This is the reason I ask you to try out the 50 numbers string at home to feel the effect for yourself.

You need only 25 hits to close the string irrespective of the number of losses.

1111111111 4444444444 4444444444 4444444444 4444444444

total= 170

If you try at home you will notice the following:

1. it is very much like flat bet but superior to flat bet

2. You will also notice that it is not necessary to close the string. As long as you have reasonable profit you can drop the string anytime you like.

Take a rest then start a new series.

A powerful and smart method to chase your losses.

WARNING: THIS METHOD IS FOR PROFESSIONALS ONLY.

Email me at

soondr@gmail.com

if you have any question

HP Johnson System

thumbnail HP Johnson System

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