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WHY PATHOLOGICAL GAMBLING ADDICTION IS DIFFICULT TO TREAT

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WHY PATHOLOGICAL GAMBLING ADDICTION IS DIFFICULT TO TREAT

INTRODUCTION

First and foremost, you have to define pathological gambling addiction before you can answer the question why pathological gambling addiction is difficult to treat. For casual reading the exact meaning is not important but for research purposes you have to define the exact meaning because the outcome depends on your definition.

Gambling addiction can be healthy addiction. For example, many gamblers buy magnum, Toto or any other jackpot games on a weekly basis. They consider the game as a small easily affordable entertainment expenses. Yet they have a chance to profit out of these expenses when they hit a jackpot.

It is common knowledge that expenses do not yield return. However, a broad spectrum of business enterprises has discovered the power of jackpot-like rewards. They start to offer prizes to encourage big spenders or lucky spenders. In a way, they attempt to mimic gambling.

These business enterprises are all supported by healthy gambling addiction. However, gambling addiction can become unhealthy or even pathological for a number of reasons.

You should note that at the moment there is no consensus among the authorities on the terminologies of pathological gambling, problem gambling and professional gambling.

Pathological gambling refers to a chronic inability to resist the impulse to gamble. The term is usually limited to cases where the gambling causes serious damage to a person’s social, vocational, or financial life. Often referred to as compulsive gambling and less frequently as disordered gambling, it is considered by most to be an impulse control disorder. It is not synonymous with problem gambling.

Problem gambling refers to gambling activity that causes difficulty for the individual but does not meet the standards for pathological gambling. Sometimes referred to as “at-risk,” “in-transition” or “potential pathological” gambling, though it is not known at what rate problem gamblers become pathological gamblers.

Professional gambling refers to one who gambles as a way to make part or all of their living. Often confused with pathological gamblers, professional gambling is characterized by limited risks, discipline, and restraint, items all lacking in the pathological gambler. Professional gamblers wager on games with skill elements rather than games of chance, and wait to bet until the odds are more in their favour.

In my opinion, professional gambling is an unqualified and unstable profession. It lacks many important characteristics of established traditional professions like docotrs, lawyers, accountants, engineers, architects. In fact, professional gamblers can lose control, go on gambling tilt and exhibit chasing behaviour. Hence, professional gamblers can also become problem or pathological gamblers.

WHY PATHOLOGICAL GAMBLING ADDICTION IS DIFFICULT TO TREAT

This article attempts to explain the possible reasons behind the poor prognosis in treating patients with pathological gambling addiction. The poor results of treatment in turn progressively expand the need for research information on pathological gambling.

In two large national U.S. surveys, 36%–39% (success rates) of the individuals with a lifetime history of DSM-IV pathological gambling did not experience any gambling-related problems in the past year. In other words, 61%-64% (failure rates) of the individuals who had tried to quit gambling had relapsed back into a lifestyle of pathological gambling within a year.

Although most people can gamble occasionally, such as occasional Saturday night social poker games, betting on major sporting events with friends, playing a slot machine while on vacation, some gamblers lose control. Pathological Gambling is characterized by recurrent and persistent gambling behaviour that disrupts family, personal, or vocational pursuits. It also involves continuous or periodic loss of control, a preoccupation with obtaining money for gambling, irrational behaviour and continuation of this behaviour in spite of adverse consequences.

The high incidence of co-morbidity of pathological gambling and other behavioural and substance abuse addictions and psychiatric disorders are well documented. Pathological gambling addiction is highly co-morbid with substance use in particular alcohol abuse and cocaine abuse, mood, anxiety, depression with suicidal tendencies and personality disorders, suggesting that treatment for one condition should involve assessment and possible concomitant treatment for co-morbid conditions.

In addition, some pathological gamblers also develop simultaneous dependencies on certain activities of living such as sex addictions, food addictions, and religious addictions that can be just as life threatening as depression and just as socially and psychologically damaging as alcoholism.

All in all, pathological gambling addiction is a lifestyle disease. Failure to diagnose and treat other poly-behavioural addictions simultaneously as a lifestyle disease is one of the main reasons why pathological gambling is difficult to treat.

This systematic evidence-based under-diagnostic standard in the field of addictions could be due to both the lack of diagnostic tools as well as inadequate resources to resolve the complexity of assessing and treating patients with pathological gambling addiction.

Statistics estimated that 20 million Americans develop gambling problems wagering and eventually losing approximately $0.5 trillion dollars annually. Someone has to pay those 24-hour electric bills. Approximately 2 million Americans are pathological gamblers, 3 million adults can be considered problem gamblers and an additional 15 million are considered at-risk for problem gambling. But who are the real losers? One study reported that direct and indirect costs to American society from problem and pathological gambling (e.g., health care, bankruptcy, criminal costs, etc.) are approximately $5 billion per year. That means that the taxpayers are the real losers. The only “Winners,” are the Casino owners, stockholders, and other investors in the Gaming industry.

The Addictions Recovery Measurement System (ARMS) is proposed as a first step in fighting this global War on Pathological gambling addiction.

Screening for Pathological Gambling Addiction

Several screening tools are available to assist counsellors and therapists with diagnosing pathological gambling. One of the earlier tools is the South Oaks Gambling Screen by Lesieur & Blume, 1987. The LIE/BET questionnaire screening tool was created by Johnson in 1997. In 2005, Slobodzien introduced The Addictions Recovery Measurement System (ARMS).

Adapted ARMS

The following statements and interpretations are adapted from ARMS.

Instructions: Following are groups of statements that are numbered. Please read each group of statements carefully. Then pick out the one statement in each group that is most true for you, and circle the number beside the statement that you pick.

1. I have never gambled with more than $100.00 on any one- day, and it was purely for social entertainment. My gambling has never resulted in adverse consequences to others or myself.

2. Gambling is sometimes a part of my recreational activities, but I have never gambled with more than $1000.00 on any one-day. Periodically I have suffered from some negative consequences, but I have never lost control over this behaviour.

3. I have gambled with more than $1000.00 on any one-day and/ or I have a continuous or periodic loss of control over gambling behaviours; and/ or a preoccupation with gambling and obtaining money for gambling; and/ or a pattern of continuing to gamble in spite of adverse consequences.

Interpretation:

1 = (At-Risk-For Problem Gambling)
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2 = (Problem Gambling)

3 = (Pathological Gambling)

Poor Results

You have come to realize today more than any other time in history that the treatment of lifestyle diseases and addictions such as pathological gambling are often a difficult and frustrating task for all concerned. Poor results are seen with all sorts of addictions despite using the most effective treatment strategies. For example, Gorski in 2001 reported that 47% of patients treated in private treatment programs relapse within the first year following treatment. There are many reasons for this poor prognosis. Some would say that failures are due simply to a lack of self-motivation or will power. However, most would agree that lifestyle behavioural addictions could possibly be that patients with multiple addictions are being under diagnosed simply due to a lack of diagnostic tools and resources that are incapable of resolving the complexity of assessing and treating a patient with multiple addictions?

Diagnostic Delineation

Thus far, the DSM-IV-TR has not delineated a diagnosis for the complexity of multiple behavioural addictions such as pathological gambling, sex addiction and substance addictions. It has reserved the Poly-substance Dependence diagnosis for a person who is repeatedly using at least three groups of substances during the same 12-month period, but the criteria for this diagnosis do not involve any behavioural addiction symptoms. In the Psychological Factors Affecting Medical Condition’s section (DSM-IV-TR, 2000); maladaptive health behaviours such as pathological gambling, overeating, unsafe sexual practices, excessive alcohol and drug use may be listed on Axis I only if they are significantly affecting the course of treatment of a medical or mental condition.

Successful treatment outcomes in all addictions are dependent on thorough assessments, accurate diagnoses, and comprehensive treatment programs tailored to an individual gambler. However, major addiction centres throughout the world have limited capability in these three major areas. The DSM-IV-TR does not even include a diagnosis for multiple addictive behavioural disorders. Therefore, it is not surprising that repeated rehabilitation failures and low success rates are the norm instead of the exception in the addictions field. Treatment clinics need to have a treatment planning system and referral network that is equipped to thoroughly assess multiple addictive and mental health disorders and related treatment needs and comprehensively provide education, awareness, prevention, and specific addictions treatment services for gamblers diagnosed with multiple addictions. Written treatment goals and objectives should be specified for each separate addiction and dimension of the gamblers’ lifestyle, and the desired performance outcome should be measurable.

New Proposed Diagnosis

To assist in resolving the limited DSM-IV-TRs’ diagnostic capability, a multidimensional diagnosis of “Poly-behavioural Addiction,” is proposed for more accurate diagnosis leading to more effective treatment planning. This diagnosis encompasses the broadest category of addictive disorders that would include an individual manifesting a combination of substance abuse addictions, and other obsessively-compulsive behavioural addictive behavioural patterns which include pathological gambling, religion, sex and pornography. Behavioural addictions such as pathological gambling are just as damaging psychologically and socially as alcohol and drug abuse.

They are comparative to other life-style diseases such as diabetes, hypertension, and heart disease in their behavioural manifestations, their aetiologies, and their resistance to treatments. They are progressive disorders that involve obsessive thinking and compulsive behaviours. They are also characterized by a preoccupation with a continuous or periodic loss of control, and continuous irrational behaviour in spite of adverse consequences.

Poly-behavioural addiction would be described as a state of periodic or chronic physical, mental, emotional, cultural, sexual, spiritual and religious intoxication. These various types of intoxication are produced by repeated obsessive thoughts and compulsive practices involved in pathological relationships to any mood-altering substance, person, organization, belief system, and activity. The individual has an overpowering desire, need or compulsion with the presence of a tendency to intensify their adherence to these practices, and evidence of phenomena of tolerance, abstinence and withdrawal, in which there is always physical and psychic dependence on the effects of this pathological relationship. In essence, Poly-behavioural addiction is the synergistically integrated chronic dependence on multiple physiologically addictive substances and behaviours. Some examples include abusing substances such as nicotine, alcohol, & drugs, or acting obsessively and compulsively in regards to gambling, food binging, sex, and religion.

New Proposed Theory

The Addictions Recovery Measurement System’s (ARMS) theory is a nonlinear, dynamical, non-hierarchical model that focuses on interactions between multiple risk factors and situational determinants similar to catastrophe and chaos theories in predicting and explaining addictive behaviours and relapse. Multiple influences trigger and operate within high-risk situations and influence the global multidimensional functioning of an individual.

There are four variables that determines the outcome of addiction therapy.

1. background factors (e.g., family history, social support, years of possible dependence, and co-morbid psychopathology).
2. physiological states (e.g., physical withdrawal).
3. cognitive processes (e.g., self-efficacy, cravings, motivation, the abstinence violation effect, outcome expectancies).
4. coping skills

In other words, small changes in gambler’s behaviour can result in large quantum changes at the gambler’s social-economic outcome and patterns at the social-economic level of the gambler’s lifestyle portfolio emerge solely from numerous little interactions.

Partnerships and coordination among service providers, government departments, and community organizations in providing treatment programs are a necessity in addressing the multi-task solution to poly-behavioural addiction. The (ARMS) resources can be used to fight the War on pathological gambling disorders within poly-behavioural addiction.

According to therapists and other professionals in the field, pathological gambling is a difficult disorder to treat. Treatment for pathological gambling is a costly, time-consuming effort, often without quick results and with a high degree of re-occurrence. Given the lack of information about the root causes of the disorder and the relatively new awareness of the phenomenon, at least on a large scale, no single treatment approach has been devised. Instead, a variety of different approaches are employed, with mixed results. The ARMS approach to treat pathological gambling within the polybehavioural disorder appear to the most promising.

PROBLEM GAMBLING

Do not confuse treatment for pathological gambling with treatment for problem gambling.

Unlike pathological gambling where treatment must include all four variables mentioned earlier, treatment for problem gambling is much simpler. This is because problem gambling has been recognized as a more cognitively based disorder. Most researchers have concluded that excessive gamblers characteristically demonstrate core cognitive distortions in their belief systems about their ability to win at gambling. These beliefs can persist even when the gambler continues to lose at gambling. It is essential to assess the gambler’s beliefs about his or her ability to win. Some gamblers also have cognitive distortions not only about their ability to win, but also their need for excitement, and a correlating distorted belief that they will not be able to function without the excitement that they derive from gambling.

COGNITIVE BEHAVIOUR THERAPY

Cognitive therapy is required to identify, challenge and modify cognitive distortions, or relapse to gambling is likely because the gambler believes that he or she is going to win if he or she gambles. Other interventions may be appropriate and effective, for example behavioural therapy, family therapy, impulse control training, and so on, but cognitive assessment and therapy will be a cornerstone of the treatment plan.

Cognitive behaviour therapy per se is sufficient to treat problem gambling. However, for pathological gambling, cognitive behaviour therapy forms only one part of treatment. The therapists also need to address the background factors, physiological states and coping skills of the pathological gamblers.

KEY POINTS

1. Do not confuse problem gamblers with pathological gamblers.
2. Do not confuse treatment for pathological gamblers with treatment for problem gamblers.
3. Professional gambling is an unqualified and unstable profession.
4. Cognitive behaviour therapy is effective to treat problem gamblers.
5. ARMS resources which include cognitive behaviour therapy are promising therapeutic tools to treat pathological gamblers.


Professional Gambling As A Hobby

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Professional Gambling As A Hobby

This post answer three major questions.
1. What it takes to become a professional gambler?
2. Why you should not take up professional gambling if you can find an alternative source of money or income?
3. Why not take up professional gambling as a hobby as a compromise.

What is your response after reading Blackjack Hall of Fames Part 1 and 2, The Rise of Blackjack Professionals Part 1, 2 and 3 and Blackjack Team Play.

The idea is to let you have a glimpse of the lives of successful professional gamblers. In short, what it takes to become a professional gambler. The price you have to pay. The risks and obstacles you have to overcome. Gambling is a risky profession. Gambling is also an unstable profession. What about professional gambling. Professional gambling is a scary profession. How do you handle these three major problems?

Professional gambling is just like any other profession. It is a journey of a thousand miles that starts with a single step. A good way is to take up or learn professional gambling as a hobby. For the talented you can turn pro later . When you practise professional gambling as a hobby, you eliminate both the inherent risk, the unstable nature of gambling and the scare of professional gambling.

With your skill as a professional gambler, gambling becomes a wonderful recreation without risk and instablity but with ample entertainment rewards and satisfaction at the expense of the casinos.

How do you know whether you will do well in professional gambling. It takes many years of learning curve to master professional gambling. It is not easy to make a living in professional gambling. Very few make it. In my opinion, gambling is the worse profession to pursue. The traditional professions like doctors, lawyers, accountants, engineers, architects, teachers fared much better.

You may have come across many individuals who are sports professionals like football, basketball, baseball, boxing, crickets, rugby, golf and so on. Gambling can be considered as a special kind of sports. Within this category, gambling as a profession is possibly the most unrewarding profession. As a consolation, you can always plan an exit strategy in professional gambling just like the way capitalists plan their exit after selling off their business.

The only way to keep improving over long periods of time is to keep a log book just like the your lecture notes and exercise books during your college days. Go though your log results and find ways to improve them.If you have any flawed belief systems or any flawed behaviour, you must find ways to eliminate them. Seek help from your mastermind support group. If you do not have one you have to form one. In professional gambling, it is just not possible to do it alone.

The best way to handle your pride and ego is to learn the spirit of sportsmanships. My advice is to take baby steps. Keep improving on your baby steps until you see a sudden jump in standards. This is just the law of nature. When water reaches 100 degree centigrade, it has to turn into steam. You may have seen how pride, ego and chasing after instant gratification contribute to the downfall of many promising professional gamblers. When water get heated too fast it explodes. It would not turn into steam.

MASTERING TECHNICAL ISSUES

Emotional maturity is probably the most important quality of a professional gambler. It takes time to learn the technical issues in professional gambling.You have to learn how to handle variance. You must not deny, justify, lay blame, or give excuses. You admit your mistakes and learn from your mistakes. You admit your weaknesses and take steps to strengthen your weaknesses. Correction is the answer. You must not be jealous of the successes of your fellow professional gamblers. You respect them as master and learn from the masters.

HANDLING CASINO SCENES

You may have encountered some common casino scenes each and everyday. “I was influenced by the fellow player. This unlucky player brings bad luck. The stupid player judged the cards wrongly. Handphones keep ringing. Croupier irritates me, takes too long to exchange money and count chips”. If you want to become a professional gambler, you have to take steps to turn these casino scenes into your comfort zone.

In addition you must be able to handle bet spreads including some occasional big bets. You need to develop the guts to push out the bets. You need to be well financed. You can play at the level of professional gambling only if you have a sufficient bankroll.

More importantly, you need to have a flare for mathematics. This is probably the single most important factor. This will win you more money than any other factor. If you don’t know the mathematics, you have to learn it. If you don’t like mathematics, professional gambling is not right for you.

As in any endeavour there are obstacles, lots of them. Mental preparation is the key. Stories from successful professional gamblers revealed that they are very often ridiculed, humiliated, suspended and even barred from casino play. If you are not aware of this, read my posts on The Rise of Blackjack Professionals
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Matured personality and self-awareness go hand-in-hand. Take steps to eliminate your weaknesses and execute maximum restraint to engage in impulsive activities that are beyond your gambling plan. Going on gambling tilt, drug abuse, bad diet and any form of excessive indulgences will definitely affect your performance. Irrespective of which games you play, which system you use, your success invariably depends on the combination of these three variables – mental alertness, money management, and mathematics.

The gamblers Book Club in Las Vegas is a great place to start. Here, you can find all the books on the aspects of gambling that interest you. You should have proper learning plans in your pursuit of professional gambling. The internet now offers more opportunity for learning than anything you probably have ever seen in your life. Gambling conferences are another great place for learning but I don’t normally attend these functions. Las Vegas used to be the place where most professional gamblers were trained. It used to be the springboard for professional gambling but with the internet and opportunities in many other parts of United States and Internationally, this is no longer as exclusive but it is still a great place for new contacts and a place to learn and develop your professional skills.

You should have realistic expectations in the outcome. You should expect both positive and negative swings in your bankroll. If you decide to be a blackjack professional, you will at some point lose 60 top bets during your career. If you play long enough you will have a losing year. I repeat, “lose top 60 bets and one losing year.” You would see the upswing and downswing due to variance.

If you pass these series of tests, and emerge unscathed, then you have graduated and qualified as a professional gambler. Professional gambling has been known to be very demanding on your time as well. More than eighty hours per week of gambling research and gambling time is the norm. In addition, professional gambling is a profession that will take over many major aspects of your life.

If you have the ability to make more money doing something else you probably should return to where you belong. Professional gambling as a source of money can be very draining on your life. In the long run, it is difficult to justify professional gambling as a bona fide profession.

Professional Gambling as a Hobby

In professional gambling you are totally independent. The only person that you need to answer is yourself. Chiefly, the mold of a man’s fortune lies in his own hand. Besides the controversial “entertainment”, professional gambling contributes nothing to society.

As a compromise, why not just take up professional gambling as a hobby. If you decide to take up professional gambling why not just made it five to ten years. You can always return to where you belong.

I have taken you on a tour to have a glimpse of the lives of successful professional gamblers. In short, what it takes to become a professional gambler. The price you have to pay. The risk and obstacle you have to overcome. Most of you must be shocked to see the iceberg beyond its tip. It is no wonder that you are giving away so much money to the casinos.

It is the purpose of this blog to awaken the public to the reality of casino gambling. This blog hope to expose the illusion of gambling and that gambling truly brings out the worse in men. The financial dream of professional gambling is not only hazardous but also not worth pursuing. Gamblinghelp.biz hopes to improve the lives of people whether it is responsible gambling, recreational gambling, professional gambling, compulsive gambling or quit gambling.

KEYPOINTS

1. Profesional gambling is risky, unstable and scary profession.

2. A good alternative is to take up professional gambling as a hobby.

3. When played as a hobby, professional gambling allows you to enjoy gambling lifestyle as a winner while eliminating most of the problems faced by professional gamblers.

If you have any question, email me at soondr@gmail.com

REFERENCE: financial-spread-betting.com

Professional gambling

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Gambling FAQ, Frequently Asked Questions Part 1

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Gambling FAQ, Frequently Asked Questions Part 1

This GAMBLING FAQ post is my response to the keywords used by searchers to visit this blog, gamblinghelp.biz. I have re-phrased the keywords for clarity of presentation.
Sixty percent of the traffic came from United States, 30% from UK. About 9% from Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Spain, Sweden, Hong Kong , Korea and Japan. Surprisingly, less than 1% came from Malaysia and Singapore.

1. What is the purpose of this blog, gamblinghelp.biz?

In a nutshell, gamblinghelp.biz promotes responsible gambling. Gamblinghelp provides free gambling courses to help gamblers in recreational gambling, professional gambling, quit gambling.

The goal is to improve peoples’ life with or without gambling.

I repeat “improve peoples’ life with or without gambling”.

2. Can you tell me more about the late Arthur Irwin Bruce, his auto-biography and the gambling system he played?

It is generally acknowledged that Arthur Irwin Bruce is one of the most talented professional gambler during his era. Arthur Irwin Bruce was a dental technician before he took up professional gambling. He died a tragic death when he was shot by his step-son.

Basically, he played a modified form of split labourche. His remarkable success resulted in all the five largest casinos in UK barred him from play. He then set up sixty schools throughout United States to teach people how to gamble. It was said that the fund to set up the sixty schools came from his casino winnings.

You may have seen his video presentation where he demonstrated his play known as the midas touch system. He said his win rate is 100%. However, I found that his video demonstration is incomplete. He did not explain whether he took loss when losing streak hit his bankroll limit. In particular, he did not explain how he handle the big numbers in his series.

In my opinion, you can win 100% of the time if you know how to use HP Johnson Guaranteed System to split the big numbers.

Read more

How The Late Arthur Irwin Bruce was Barred from the Five Largest Casinos in the UK

3. Who is HP Johnson? We want to know more about his work.

HP Johnson is a professional roulette player. His remarkable success is documented in the method he invented. He claimed the success rate is 100%. Loss of a series is not encountered in several years of play in international casinos throughout the world. Stakes never go higher than what he capped.

He described his HP Johnson Guaranteed Roulette as 100% success rate. Not a single losing series. He personally guarantee your success but wants 10% of the profit. I have tested, modified and played HP Johnson system for many years on and off. My result is also 100%. Very often, I modify his sytem or combine with other systems, the result is still 100%. Indeed, it is the greatest system I have ever come across. Simply awesome, amazing, fantastic! No words can describe. However, HP Johnson never became famous. Not many people have heard of him.

Unlike Arthur Irwin Bruce who became famous because of three major events that drew public attention. First, he was barred from the five largest casinos in UK. Second, he set up 60 Gambling Schools throughout United States to teach peole how to win with his Midas Touch System. Third, he died a tragic death when he was shot by his step-son.

Read more

How I won US$350 despite losing 31 times

4. Can you tell me more about the psychodynamic theory of gambling?

Psychodynamic theory of gambling can be used to explain why gambling is highly addictive. The addictive effects arise as a result of the psychological flicks created by win-lose situations as well as misses and near misses. Psychodynamic theory can also be used to explain gambling tilt. An important application of psychodynamic theory is cognitive behaviour therapy used by psychiatrists and counsellors to treat compulsive gamblers. Many professional gamblers also know how to use psychodynamic theory to help them to stay off gambling tilt.

Read more

PSYCHODYNAMIC THEORY OF GAMBLING TILT http://www.gamblinghelp.biz/wpblog/?p=961

5. Who is Sigmund Freud and who is Carl Jung?

Both are researchers and practising psychiatrists. In short you can consider Sigmund Freud as the father of psychodynamics and Carl Jung as the top disciple or follower of Sigmund Freud. Their theories can be used to explain the behaviour of gamblers.

Read more

PSYCHODYNAMIC THEORY OF GAMBLING TILT

6. Who are the social scientists on gambling?

When social scientists do research work on any topic, they generally use a qualitative research methodology. The three most popular methods are grounded theory, ethnography and narrative readings. Ground theory is the brainchild of Glaser and Strauss. However, Hochschild, the emeritus professor of sociolgy from the Universty of California, Berkeley introduced “emotion work” to explain gambling tilt.

Read more

Social Science Theory of Gambling Tilt

http://www.gamblinghelp.biz/wpblog/?p=951

7. What about ego and gambling?

Ego is one of the important elements of psychodynamic theory. Ego and gambling is primarily the reason why all gamblers go on tilt.

Read more

GAMBLING TILT PART 1

HOW PROFESSIONALS STAY OFF GAMBLING TILT

FIVE TIPS TO AVOID GAMBLING TILT

FURTHER DISCUSSION ON GAMBLING TILT

Gamblinghelp FAQ

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How to overcome The Twin Evils of Gambling

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How to overcome The Twin Evils of Gambling

The twin evils of gambling are negative expected values and chasing losses. Negative expected values may be casino odds, rakes or commissions. Another way of describing chasing losses is “I will get it back ” syndrome. Gamblers are not just losers. They are big losers. The majority suffers from the human inborn instinct of “chasing lossses” . In other words, you want to get it back.

If you compare casino odds with the interest you earn from the bank saving account, you will realize how powerful casino odds are on the players.
Let’s say the casino odds is 3%. Saving accounts yield or return 3% in one year. Casino yields 3% in ONE bet. Casino make from the gambler in one bet what you make in a year from your saving account. Shocking! Isn’t it?

And if you chase losses, you will invariably lose out of proportion to your modest wins. For example, you may win 1k, 1k, 1k over the first three bets, then lose 1k, 2k, 4k over the next three bets. So, it is not about winning or losing. It is more about how fast you lose.

A fellow gambler posted in his blog that for every 1.3 seconds there is a “new” gambling system released for craps, sports betting, poker, roulette, baccarat and so on. And there are easily thousands of worthless gambling systems out there. Only a few gambling systems have merits. You must learn how to review or evaluate whenever a gambling systems is presented to you.

I have covered in my earlier posts in great details the pros and cons of gambling systems. Gambling systems are vulnerable to the full devastating effects of these twin evils of negative expected values and chasing losses.

If you are new to gambling, or if you are a recreational player, you need to learn how to tolerate or accept losses and not to chase losses. This is not easy but it becomes easier with practice and time. If you are an experieced professional, then you may counter the evils of chasing losses by learning strategies of smart chasing of losses. I have described several methods of smart chasing of losses such as HP Johnson’s system, Arthur Irwin Bruce Midas Touch System, modified Monte Carlo system, SF Roulan Fast Roulan and 1221 system as well as Frank Barstow series of systems.

(The modified Monte Carlo system is the system I used to win 160,000 over ten months).

The goal is to keep stakes low, such that your average wins are always higher than your average losses . As a reminder this method works short run only. For this method to work, you must make sure that short term does not become long term. Short term is defined by process, not time. You must learn how to review gambling systems. It is a very important skill in gambling.

Test yourself by buying or borrowing a book on gambling systems and see whether you are able to apply these principles to critically review the author’s ideas, opinions and viewpoints.

Similarly, you counter negative expectations games in two ways.

1. Define your game plan. It must be finite in terms of number of bets and time. Because within this context, it is possible to use strategies such that your average win is higher than your average loss.
2. Train yourself to spot situations as well as choosing games with positive expected values. In other words, you play only games or situations with positive expectations. Positive expectation is a very reliable and stable platform. Professional gamblers rely on positive expected value systems to make a living.

GAMBLINGHELP provide free gambling courses to help gamblers in recreational gambling, professional gambling, quit gambling.

twin evils of gambling

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Where To Find Holy Grail

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Where to Find Holy Grail

Smart Chasing of Losses is not holy grail

In games with negative expectation, smart chasing of losses is the only effective way to win short term. Short term is defined by process, not time.

I have illustrated to you the success story of SF Roulan, Arthur Irwin Bruce and HP Johnson. You can win for several years. To some even a lifetime.
However, it does not mean that their methods are invincible.

Their methods are not holy grail. They will lose when the reverse jackpot hits.
As an analogy, if you have ten digits, it is not easy to strike the jackpot. Conversely. it is also not easy to be hit by the reverse jackpot.

But if you have three digits, it is easy to hit a small jackpot. Conversely, it is also easy to be hit by the reverse jackpot.

There is no holy grail in any games with negative expectation. You use smart chasing of losses to postpone your nemesis. It is possible to win for a lifetime if you start by winning and you understand all these principles I have presented so far.

As a reminder, read again this quote by Bob Stupak

Vegas World casino owner Bob Stupak said, “Having one-thousandth of one percent the worst of it, if he plays long enough, that one-thousandth of one percent will bust the richest man in the world.”

You can find holy grail in situations with positive expectations.

In baccarat, I recommend these two situations:

1. 9-unit bet banker only system. Play only 5% baccarat table.

Entry is PBB. Exit is PPP. Your advantage comes from

(a) banker wins 103 times to player 100 times.
(b) banker streaks together with one-unit win on alternate bets will help you to offset the 5% commission.
(c) You win on zigzag, alternate and whenever banker is strong
(d) You sit out when banker is weak.

As you can see, this is a great system.

2. Tie bet towards the end of the shoes. When you count cards in blackjack, you will notice that the odds fluctuate in both direction, either in favour or against you. However, in tie bet in baccarat, the odds always fluctuate in favour of you. Another great system.

For your information, I invented the above two systems myself.

To be a professional you have to train yourself to spot situations with positive expectations.

You skill level and your belief system will affect the way you play. In other words your playing style.

HOLY GRAIL IS FOUND IN SITUATIONS WITH POSITIVE EXPECTATIONS.

When you play with positive expectations, you can translate your odds into hourly rate.

When you have hourly rate, you can call yourself a professional.

And you pay taxes for your yearly winnings.

If you have any questions, email me at

soondr@gmail.com

Subscribe to Free Gambling Courses

Gamblinghelp provide free gambling courses to help gamblers in recreational gambling, professional gambling, quit gambling.

smart chasing of losses

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The Gambling System Invented by SF Roulan

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The Gambling System Invented by SF Roulan

Professional gamblers are generally very secretive. There are good reasons why they behave that way. SF Roulan, the late Swiss-French Professional is one of them.

It was said that SF Roulan was often refused play in small casinos in many of his overseas trips. However, he was a welcomed player in big casinos like Monte Carlo in Monaco.

He revealed his gambling system to his peers only when near dying in his nineties.

This was how he played.

He invented a number of variations.

This is his favourite method. It is also known as Fast Roulan.

Bet 1 unit. Win or lose bet three units. If won three units he concludes the series.

Scenario 1

Won 1 unit, lost 3 units.
He bets two units. If won he concludes the series breakeven.
If lost he bets 4 units. If won he concludes the series.

If lost, he goes into recovery phase.

(2) + (2) + (4) = (8)

I will discuss recovery phase later. Meanwhile let’s go to the next scenario.

Scemario 2

Won 1 units, won 3 units.
This is to optimize for winning streaks.

For example won 1, 3, 1, 3, 1, 3, 1, 3.

Scenario 3

Lost 1 unit, lost 3 units. He bets 4 units, If won, close series.

If lost, he moves into recovery phase with net loss of eight units.

Recovery phase

Start with net loss of 8 units.

What Roulan did was he bets 50% of the net loss

If won, he reduces his losses by half. Then he bet the remaining half. If won he concludes his sseries.

If lost, you get

(8), (4) or (12) units. Now he bets 50% or 6 units.

If won, he bets 4 units
If won, he bets 2 units
If won, he concludes series.

Recovery phase in the event of adverse run

Assuming he lost ten bets in a row. The string would appear like this:

(1), (3),(4), (4),(6), (9), (13),(20), (30), (45)

Each time he wins he recovers 50% of the bets.

BET SELECTION

He played follow the last. When chop or alternate or jump showed, he switched to bet alternate.

This means he will lose to 2-1-1-2. In the case of baccarat it is PPBPBB or BBPBPP.

When he loses to 2-1-1-2, he switches over to bet 2-1-1-2 at minimum stake to ride out the losing streak.

Again, it was not explained how he handled the big numbers.

I believe he used one or more of the following three options:

1. Accept loss. Stop loss limits
2. Split the big numbers, just like HP Johnson did
3. Reduce his percentages, just like what Arthur Irwin Bruce did.

By peddling this way, it is difficult to lose.

The reason is when you bet 50% of the net loss, each winning bet can cover for 1.8 losing bet (almost 2 bets).

Now, figure it out yourself. In an even odd game, it is possible to lose 18 to 1. However, it is not possible to lose 180 to 10. It just does not happen. Similarly, it is very easy to lose 20 to 10. However, it is not possible to lose 2000 to 1000. It just does not happen.

You need to have this kind of mindset in order to execute “smart chasing of losses ” successfully.

When I played the Roulan method, I used all the three options I mentioned above.

Generally, I prefer to play only banker in 5% baccarat. And my bet selection is

(a) chose zigzag table,
(b) entry when PBB shows,
(c) exit when PPP shows.

If you have any questions email me at

soondr@gmail.com

GAMBLING HELP provides free gambling courses to help gamblers in recreational gambling, professional gambling, quit gambling.

Subscribe to free gambling courses at

Free Gambling Courses

WARNING: This system is recommended for professionals only. You will be drowned if you do not have sufficient playing experience.

Gambling System

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How The Late Arthur Irwin Bruce was Barred from the Five Largest Casinos in the UK

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How the late Arthur Irwin Bruce was barred from the five largest casinos in UK.

After he was barred from the five largest casinos in the UK, Bruce set up 60 schools throughout United States to teach gamblers how to win in gambling.
It was said that the start up cost of his 60 gambling schools came from his winnings.

Bruce was a former dental technician. His death was a tragedy. He was shot dead by his stepson.
Many of his peers and fellow professional gamblers consider Bruce as a talented champion gambler.

This was the initial method he played. Bankroll 700.

10, 10, 15

When you cancel off the numbers you have won 35 units.

He starts by betting the first number on the left 10. If lost the string becomes

10, 10, 15, 10

He bets only one number when losing. The goal is to protect your bankroll. Protecting the bankroll is the priority in gambling.

He bets 10 again. If lost, the string becomes

10, 10, 15, 10, 10

He bets 10 again. Lost again. Now, the string is now

10, 10, 15, 10, 10, 10

Next bet. He bet 10. Won. The string becomes

10, 15, 10, 10, 10

Because he won, he takes two numbers, the first and the last numbers. So he bet 20. Won.

The string becomes

15, 10, 10.

Now he take three numbers. Bet 35. If won, he conclude the series. If lost, the string becomes

15, 10, 10, 35

Because he lost, he bets only the first number. He bets 15. Lost. The string is

15, 10, 10, 35, 15.

He bet 15 again. Now won

10, 10, 35, 15.

Now bet 25. Won

Now bet 45. Won.

Series completed with a net win of 35.

DISCUSSION

He reduces bets to protect his bankroll when losing. He increases bets up to a maximum of three numbers on winning streaks.

His bet selection is “follow the last”. When he lose five times more, he switched over to “opposite the last.”

Initially he took loss when losses hit his bankroll, that is 700.

After playing for some time, he modified his method. He felt it was not necessary to take loss.

So, he claimed his winning is 100%, but still not holy grail.

He felt that it was not necessary to play the numbers.

He used percentages.

When losing in a row, he will play only 10% of the total of the outstanding numbers.

When winning, he will go for three numbers until he conclude the series.

ILLUSTRATION

Let’s assume the numbers are:

35, 45, 60, 75, 95, 105, 135,

Total=550

He would bet 10% of 550 = 50.
If won. He bet 40% of 500 = 200.
If won he bet=60%of 300 = 180.
If won he bet the remaining 120.

If won he would have won the string of 35 units.

Remember he bet 10%, the 40%, then 60% then 100%.

If the string gets too long, he would bet only 5%, then 10%, the 40%, then 60% then 100%.

Generally, he concluded his series whenever he won four to five extra times, not necessarily consecutively.

And adverse run doesn’t get him because he bets only 5% of the outstanding losses.

This means he concluded his series anytime when a mild winning streak come to the rescue.

In the early years of his career, he accepted losses when losses hit his bankroll of 700. However, in the latter part of his career, he said it was not necessary to take loss.

That was when his profit became enormous. And he was finally barred from the five largest casinos in the UK.

He did not explain how he handle his play when the numbers got very big.

You can see. This is another example of success story using smart chasing of losses.

I have modified his method especially when the numbers got big. And I have used it with great success in actual casino play. If you are keen to know how I do it, email me at

soondr@gmail.com

GAMBLINGHELP is my latest project. The goal is to educate the public and promote responsible gambling.

Gamblinghelp provides free gambling courses to help gamblers in recreational gambling, professional gambling, quit gambling.

Subscribe to free gambling courses:

Free Gambling Courses

WARNING: THIS METHOD IS FOR PROFESSIONALS ONLY. YOU WILL BE DROWNED IF YOU DO NOT HAVE SUFFICIENT PLAYING EXPERIENCE.

Midas Touch System

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Gambling Theory – Variance and Mathematical Expectation

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Gambling Theory – Variance and Mathematical Expectation

and how to use it to make money in tie bets in baccarat (strongly recommended)

Vegas World casino owner Bob Stupak said, “Having one-thousandth of one percent the worst of it, if he plays long enough, that one-thousandth of one percent will bust the richest man in the world.”

As you know, Bob Stupak own the casino Stratosphere.

I played once in Stratosphere casino. I played 0.2% odds blackjack. For the first four days, I lost US$500 despite card counting. This was due to variance. I received plenty of stiff cards. When you get stiff cards in blackjack, the odds against you averages 15%.

There was nothing much I could do except to take loss. Then, I went to attend a Medical Seminar in Palm Spring followed by a Medical Evaluation Examination.

Subsequently, I returned to Stratosphere casino and continued to play blackjack the same way. Surprisingly, variance and positive expectations came to my rescue. By the end of third day, I won US$700 for a net win of US$200.

Gambling Theory involve ideas that frequently involve concepts that are deep, abstract and subtle.

This post is about the general theories and concepts of gambling, which apply to nearly all casino games – baccarat, roulette, blackjack, Tai-Sai, and Poker.

Beginning recreational gamblers always make flawed assumptions.
They belief that lady luck, systems and money management give them the edge to beat the casino.

By explaining the logic of gambling, this post will, I hope, show the gambler what kinds of stuffs to focus on in order to become a better gambler.

To illustrate the concepts presented, I prefer to use these five games – baccarat, roulette, blackjack, Mini-dice, and Poker.

Gambling theory is not easy, but a careful reading of it should reap rich rewards.

Mathematical expectation is the amount a bet will average winning or losing. It is an extremely important concept for the gambler because it shows him how to evaluate most gambling problems. Using mathematical expectation is also the best way to analyze most situations where you can find positive expected values.

Let’s say you are betting with a friend $1, even money, on the flip of a coin. Each time it comes up heads, you win; each time it comes up tails, you lose. The odds of its coming up heads are 1-to-1, and you’re betting $l-to-$l. Therefore, your mathematical expectation is precisely zero since you cannot expect, mathematically, to be either ahead or behind after two flips or after 200 flips.

Your hourly rate is also zero. Hourly rate is the amount of money you expect to win per hour. You might be able to flip a coin 500 times an hour, but since you are getting neither good nor bad odds, you will neither earn nor lose money. From a serious gambler’s point of view, this betting proposition is not a bad one. It’s just a waste of time.

But let’s say some ‘fish’ is willing to bet $2 to your $1 on the flip of the coin. Suddenly you have a positive expectation of 50 cents per bet. Why 50 cents? On the average you will win one bet for every bet you lose. You wager your first dollar and lose $1; you wager your second and win $2. You have wagered $1 twice, and you are $1 ahead. Each of these $1 bets has earned 50 cents.

If you can manage 500 flips of the coin per hour, your hourly rate is now $250, because on average you will lose one dollar 250 times and win two dollars 250 times $500 minus $250 equals a $250 net win. Notice again that your mathematical expectation, which is the amount you will average winning per bet, is 50 cents. You have won $250 after betting a dollar 500 limes: That works out to be 50 cents per bet.

Mathematical expectation has nothing to do with results. The ‘fish’ might win the first ten coin flips in a row, but betting 2-to-l odds on an even-money proposition, you still earn 50 cents per $1 bet. It makes no difference whether you win or lose a specific bet or series of bets as long as you have a bankroll to cover your losses easily.

If you continue to make these bets, you will win, and in the long run your win will approach specifically the sum of your expectations.

Anytime you make a bet with the best of it, where the odds are in your favour, you have earned something on that bet, whether you actually win or lose the bet. In the same way, when you make a bet with the worst of it, where the odds are not in your favour, you have lost something, whether you actually win or lose the bet.

You have the best of it when you have a positive expectation, and you have a positive expectation when the odds are in your favour. You have the worst of it when you have a negative expectation, and you have a negative expectation when the odds are against you. Serious gamblers bet only when they have the best of it; when they have the worst of it, they do not bet.

What does it mean to have the odds in your favour? It means winning more on a result than the true odds warrant. The true odds of a coin’s coming up heads are 1-to-l, but you’re getting 2-to-l for your money. The odds in this instance are in your favour. You have the best of it with a positive expectation of 50 cents per bet.

Mathematical expectation is at the heart of every gambling situation, When a bookie requires football bettors to lay $11 to win $10, he has a positive expectation of 50 cents per $10 bet. When a casino pays even money on the PLAYER bet at the baccarat table, it has a positive expectation of about $1.36 per $100 bet since the game is structured so that the PLAYER bettor will lose 103 decisions for every 100 decisions he win.

Indeed it is this seemingly minuscule positive expectation that provides casinos around the world with all their enormous profits. This is something that casino knows but don’t want gamblers to know.

In most gambling situations like casino baccarat (except ties), craps and roulette, the odds on any given bet are constant. In others like blackjack and poker, they change, and mathematical expectation can show you how to evaluate a particular situation.

In blackjack, for instance, to determine the right play, mathematicians have calculated your expectation playing a hand one way and your expectation playing it another way.

Whichever play gives you a higher positive expectation or a lower negative expectation is the right one For example, when you have a 16 against the dealer’s 10, you’re a favourite to lose.

However, when that 16 is 8,8, your best play is to surrender and lose half the bets. If surrender is not allowed, your second best is to split the 8s, doubling your bet. By splitting the 8s against the dealer’s 10, you still lose but lose less. Splitting do not give you the edge. Splitting helps you to lose less. You have a lower negative expectation than if you simply hit every time you had an 8,8 against a 10.

In the long run a gambler’s overall win or loss is the sum of his mathematical expectations in individual situations. The more bets you make with a positive expectation, the bigger winner you stand to be. The more bets you make with a negative expectation, the bigger loser you stand to be. Therefore, you should almost always try to make the bet that will maximize your positive expectation or minimize your negative expectation.

If you choose to play baccarat, I recommend playing ties towards the end of the shoes despite the 14% odds in ties. In blackjack, the odds can fluctuate two ways, either against you or in favour of you. In baccarat, the odds always fluctuate in the direction in favour of you.

I repeat:

IN BACCARAT TIE BETS, THE ODDS ALWAYS FLUCTUATE IN FAVOUR OF YOU.

When the odds remain the same or out by one number, do not bet. You can bet when at least two numbers are eliminated.

You need not be exact. Approximation is sufficient. Practise playing this way for some time and you will fall in love with another game where you can find plenty of similar situations. That game is professional poker. Evaluation of mathematical expectation is the bread and butter of professional poker.

With this post, I hope, you will learn how to spot situations with positive expected values in order to make money. In case you are barred for winning with tie bets, you can always switch over to professional poker.

If you have any questions email me at

soondr@gmail.com

Subscribe to

Free Gambling Courses

mathematical expectation

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Review of Beat The Casino by Frank Barstow

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Review of Beat The Casino by Frank Barstow

Frank Barstow was a Wall Street Analyst. Upon retirement he did substantial research on gambling systems.
All the gambling systems are documented in the book “Beat The Casino”. The book is now out of print.

He concluded by saying that he could have named these systems as “Royal Road to Riches, but he chose not to”. Then, in the epiloque, he criticised the politicians for legalising the casinos.

He explored up as you win systems, up as you lose systems, bet selection and partnership play.

UP AS YOU WIN

If you would like to go for small but consistent wins, parlay is a good system to use.

Barstow recommends this system

2 3 4 5 7 10.

Total= 31 units.

He said you should win 42 units for every 31 units that you lose.

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You can also use the 31-parlay system

1 1 1 2 2 4 4 8 8

This system was documented in Las Vegas magazine. This old man make a living playing just one system.

The total loss per series is 31 units. That is why it is commonly known as 31-parlay system.

For playing parlay systems, use the reverse-repeat bet selection (more on this later).

And try to chose tables with lots of doublets and avoid tables with lots of singlets or chops or jumps (whatever you call it).
It does not matter if the cards do not go your way. You still have to do it for the benefit of the doubt.

Up-two-down-one system. Barstow says this is the best system. So, he lent his name to this system.
Now it is known as Barstow’s system.

1 2 3 5 7 9 11

Starting bet is one unit. You move up either one level or two units after a win. You reduce one level after a loss.

Generally, you conclude the series after three wins in a row, www, or two wins one loss then another two wins, wwlww.

It is not necessary to end the whole series after say www.
You can pull back to a lower level somewhere in the middle of the series if you still need to catch up.

Everytime you lose, you reduce one level.
If you lose three big bets consecutively exceeding 30 units, you drop the whole series. Execute your strict limit on losses.

Barstow said he played eighteen four hour sessions. His results are as follows:

Won 14 four hour sessions averaging 350 per session
Lost 4 four hour sessions averaging 150 per session.

See some examples here and figure it out yourself how I play this system.

Losses are in brackets

The examples are taken from my log playing 5% baccarat in one of my overseas trips.

Example 1:

1, 2, 3 won 6 units

Example 2 :

(1), (1), (1), (1), (1), (1), (1), (1), 1, 2, 4, 6, 3, 5 won 13 units

Example 3:

(1), (1), 1, (2), (1), (1), (1), 1, 2, (3), 2, (4), 3, (5), (4), 3, 5, 7, 9, (5), (4), 3, 5, 7. Won 16 units

Example 4:

(1), (1), (1), 1, (2), 1, (2), 1, 2, (4), 3, 5, (6), (5), (4), 3, (5), (4), 2, (4), 3, (5), 4, (6), 5,
(7), 6, 8, (10), 9, (11), 10, (5), 4, 6, 8, 4.

Won 2 units. Despite losing the two highest stake of 10 and 11.

You will notice how I deviate from the basic rules.

To win playing this system skilful handling is a MUST.

Note:

Play within your comfort zone. Professional gambling is a trade-off between risk and reward.
You must be comfortable with the risk in order to take the reward.
This method is still smart chasing of losses. The odds are still negative.

UP AS YOU LOSE

All up as you lose systems fall under the grind category.

Barstow says 80% of the professionals only escalate on winnings whereas 20% of the professionals also escalate on losing.
To the latter, they say it is the surest way to win.

Barstow describe the following systems.

1. Doubling up or Martingale.
Barstow recommend strict limit of losses at four levels.
Careful bet selection is a MUST to come out ahead.

2. Fibonacci.

1 2 3 5 8 13 21 34 55 89 144 233

Twelve levels.

Barstow says bet selection is crucial to come out ahead.

Just follow my blog. One day I will describe to you how I modify these fibonacci numbers for optimal play. I won between 50 cents to one dollar per bet. That is, if I had played one thousand bets, my winning is US$500.

3. Two-Five system.

Barstow recommend this system. He says it is a good especially when

played with partners or use imaginary partnerships.

You create a string with five numbers.

For example 2 3 5 7 10

Start with two units you keep pushing up until you get two wins or lose the series.

Anytime you get your two wins you conclude your series.

For example your winning series can be

2, 3
(2), (3), 5, 7
(2), 3, 5
(2), 3, (5), 7
2, (3), 5
2, (3), (5), 7
(2), (3), (5), 7, 10
(2), (3), 5, (7), 10

For bet selection, Barstow recommend a method he named it “PATTERN”.

In this bet selection you will lose to double chop or two-two, but win all long series of single chop (or jump or alternating). You will also win all long streaks of BANKER as well as PLAYER.
You only lose to BANKER second liner and PLAYER second liner.

The REVERSE of PATTERN is the bet selection known as REVERSE-REPEAT.
Barstow recommends player switch to REVERSE-REPEAT when they notice they are losing more times.
In REVERSE-REPEAT, player wins the first liner and second liner of both BANKER and PLAYER.

REVERSE-REPEAT bet selection is ideal when you are playing systems like parlay where two consecutive wins are crucial.
I repeat,

REVERSE-REPEAT BET SELECTION IS IDEAL WHEN YOU ARE PLAYING SYSTEMS LIKE PARLAY WHERE TWO CONSECUTIVE WINS ARE CRUCIAL.

Take some time to explore these systems.

If you have any questions, email me at

soondr@gmail.com

My goal is to help you all to become better gamblers.

When you become better gamblers you will know what to do.

“I agree with the position that to help gambling addicts, one must help them become better gamblers. Once they understand gambling theory, the smart ones will leave gambling for good or small trips, the not-so-smart ones become living examples of their recklessness/arrogance/stupidity.
My teaching is free and always will be.

Gamblinghelp can help you in

1. Recreational Gambling

(i) beginner recreational gambling

(ii) advanced recreational gambling

2. Professional gambling

3. Quit gambling.

I am looking forward to develop this website into a meaningful gambling community network. I appreciate the assistance and co-operation of each and everyone of you.

The goal is to educate the public and promote responsible gambling. It is designed to help you to protect yourself.

Tell your friend about this blog. Tell them to email me or subscribe to my free gambling courses so that I know who they are. Email me even to say, hello is welcome.

soondr@gmail.com

Subscribe to free gambling courses at

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Negative Expectation Games Versus Positive Expectation Games

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Negative expectation games versus positive expectation games.

Whenever I present any system with negative expectation, I always got attacked by fellow players.

Sure, all system with negative expectations are vulnerable. In fact, extremely vulnerable.

This is the reason why I always recommend games or situations with positive expectations.

With positive expectations helping you, the winning mechanism is so stable and powerful.

If the game has positive expectation, you start off with the lowest limit. The positive expectation will help you to make the money.

Then you move up one level. If you start by losing, your positive expectation will come to your rescue.
Then you move one level up again.

All games with negative expectations are not suitable for long term play. You cannot play the same way like above. You have to hit and run.

However, you can manipulate it in certain way such that losing streak is not encountered.

Allow me to make this hypothetical assumption: This is very important. Bear with me until you read twice.

Look at this martindale series.

Please do not attack me. I am trying to explain hypothetically the concept that NOT ENCOUNTERED is different from HOLY GRAIL.

1,2,4,8,16,32,64,128………….up to 26 times

Assuming it is possible to play this way. Then you can assume that you are unlikely to lose in a lifetime of play.

If say, ten thousand players play this way, then it is very likely that one will lose in a lifetime of play.

THIS HYPOTHESIS ILLUSTRATES THE MEANING THAT LOSING STREAK IS NOT ENCOUNTERED.

Now, we take a look at the problem with this system.

When you lose 26 times in a row your loss is way out of proportion to your win.

And when you win, you win a miserable one unit at a time.

So, how do you optimize this martindale string such that you will not lose way out of proportion to your win
and your win is not a miserable one unit at a time.

All professional methods dealing with smart chasing of losses all uses this aspect of optimization.

You just have to follow my blog. Slowly I will illustrate one system after another the concepts used by professional until you become crystal clear about this concept.

Back to our martindale numbers. In order to optimize, we want to do this.

When we win we want our unit to be higher not one unit.
When we lose we want our large numbers to be much smaller.
And we also want to maintain that we do not need to hit more times to win, just like in martindale.

Then next step, how to optimize such that we get the scenario with these three elements.

HP Johnson has done a good job.

By fixing an optimal string,

5 5 5 5 5 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 45

we can start off by losing 31 times followed by 7 wins and we won 430. Ratio of 4.4 loss to one win. Amazing. This method of play does not have the problem of martindale yet has the power of martindale.

And our high stakes is never high because we split the number when it gets too high. If we are hit by adverse run at this point, our string gets longer and longer. That means we keep splitting our numbers into more numbers.

When there are many numbers like 50 numbers, distribution gives you enormous power to weaken the effect of extreme adverse run. You get the best of both worlds.

Adverse runs can never get you, yet you have the power of martindale.

This is the reason I ask you to try out the 50 numbers string at home to feel the effect for yourself.

You need only 25 hits to close the string irrespective of the number of losses.

1111111111 4444444444 4444444444 4444444444 4444444444

total= 170

If you try at home you will notice the following:

1. it is very much like flat bet but superior to flat bet

2. You will also notice that it is not necessary to close the string. As long as you have reasonable profit you can drop the string anytime you like.

Take a rest then start a new series.

A powerful and smart method to chase your losses.

WARNING: THIS METHOD IS FOR PROFESSIONALS ONLY.

Email me at

soondr@gmail.com

if you have any question

HP Johnson System

thumbnail HP Johnson System

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