How to win in regular casino games.

How to win in regular casino games

By regular casino games, I mean baccarat, roulette, Mini-dice and Tai-Sai because these are the games I usually play. I play only even odd bets. I prefer baccarat because the game is faster.

When gamblers think about how to win in regular casino games, their approach always come under lady luck, gambling systems or money management.
In this post we will discuss only gambling system. What is so great about gambling system. In a nutshell, gambling system is nothing great. It is just like doing business in an unstable environment. It is difficult to make money in an unstable business environment. Similarly, it is difficult win in games of negative expectations.
There are two schools of thought in gambling. Those who believe games with negative expectations are beatable. And those who believe that games with negative expectations are unbeatable. Putting it another way, you may like to know how you can win in games with negative expectations. You can rely on these two concepts to win. They are ‘smart chasing of losses’ and ‘not encountered’. Whenever you analyse any systems and you find that these two key points are not adequately addressed, my advice is to drop the system. Just assume it is a scam.

Regular casino games are the bread and butter of casino owners. As such, it is not easy to win in these games. Let us assume that you want to beat the casino in even-odd games. I have mentioned in my previous posts that it is possible or rather controversial. All those winning strategies I have described are excluded because they are not regular play. These strategies are bet banker only, tie bets in baccarat, counting card in blackjack, bias wheel in roulettes, casino promotions, casino tournaments, match play coupons and so on. Once again I would like to emphasize that to win in regular casino games is not easy because you are breaking into the rice bowl of the casino owners. However, the casino is not worried. you will find out why.

It is like saying you can run 100 meters under 10 seconds. There are very few people who can do that. Another analogy is to say that you can live until 100 years old. Of course, a few can live up to that age, but most won’t live that long. Similarly, there are very few people who can win in games with negative expectations. This explains why casino reap astronomical profits from these negative expectaion games. Because a few gamblers can only win peanuts, casino winning from other gamblers can easily cover for your peanuts.

You need to understand a few concepts before I can go on. Pure theorists, mathematicians and statisticians claimed that negative expectation games are unbeatable. They based their assumption on infinite play. In my opinion, this assumption is flawed.

I will show you why. Time in universe is infinite. Our solar system is not infinite. Planet earth is not infinite. Our civilization is only about 6000 years. Human life span is not infinite. So that assumption is flawed and therefore you would be able to beat the casino in their regular games.

You will win when you creatively combine ‘smart chasing of losses‘ with ‘not encountered‘. However, it is not easy. Chances are you will win only peanuts. Chances are many of you will lose a lot when you make mistakes. So, you rarely see players playing this way or winning this way. Winning in games with negative expectation relies on the twin principle of ‘smart chasing of losses’ and ‘not encountered’. ‘Smart chasing of losses’ is the concept I invented to differentiate it from irresponsible chasing of losses. ‘Not encountered’ is the concept I borrowed from HP Johnson Guaranteed system.

Not encountered works because we do not play infinite number of hands in a lifetime. However, empirical observation shows these players are net losers long term due to mistakes and casino counter-measures. It is like saying salaried workers are in debt despite their monthly income. It is not that the system did not work. It is just that it is a poor man’s salary. It is a matter of time that the poor man end up broke.

Even if they have succeeded in gambling systems, they are still failures. I will show you why. The concept of not encountered are highly elusive. Let’s get started. Please bear with me for a while. Imagine you can play Martindale or double up to 80x. Do you think you will lose in a lifetime of play. My answer is definitely no. However, if you project 2 to the power 80 to infinity then of course you will lose your series which is supposed to be not encountered. You will noticed that there are two parameters that explains ‘not encountered’.

The characteristics of the martindale system are
1. Stakes get very high very fast but you make a fast come back.
2. When you are lucky you are just winning one unit.
3. As long as you hit your single win you are ahead.
4. Losing streak never last more than half an hour.

However, you know that this does not work and Martindale is historically responsible for the suicidal rates in the French Riveria.

So, here is the magic. You do not need to be ahead within half an hour. You can work out your gambling plan such that at worse you will be ahead after one week of losses.
You narrow down your bet spread and eliminate all the high stakes in the Martindale series. You want to maintain your ability to win without having to win more times just like Martindale.
HP Johnson Guaranteed System qualify for this. The system passed the problem area to the time parameter so that you always play at comfortable levels. Your worst losing streak theoretically will last only one week. In other words, you convert half an hour into one week, and your huge imaginary bankroll becomes a moderate manageable practical winning bankroll. In several years of actual casino play, HP Johnson encountered three days of losses only once before he recovered on the fourth day. I also encountered three days of losses once before I recovered my losses on the fourth day. HP Johnson played six series simultaneously, so do I. Remember, it is not necessary to conclude the series as long as you are ahead. Also, remember to re-balance your scales every now and then.

Enjoy your reward point, win as little as you can and make sure you are immune to gambling tilt. I usually chase after casino rewards which include free rooms, free foods and free shows when I play this way.
You can never lose this way because it is very much like a gambling plan at 2 to the power 80 at maximum half hour but you translate it into much lower stakes and bet spread at maximum one week of smart chasing of losses.

After winning for some time, the player gets greedy and impatient. He will tell you that now he is doubling his income. He thought that the not encountered is something like 2 to the power 79. It is not. It is now 2 to the power 40. So, he doubles his rate of income again and thought that his Martindale string is now 2 to the power 78. . The correct answer is more likely 2 to the power 20. He repeated his winning streak and thought that he is invincible. Finally, his win rate is fast but his string is now 2 to the power 10. Casino can easily get you at ten losses in a row and the poor misguided gambler lost back all his winnings possibly within six months. Very likely he would also have lost his bankroll. This scenario can be considered as a subtle form of gambling tilt.

Note: This player is still playing the HP Johnson Guaranteed System but at much higher stake. I am using the martindale analogy to illustrate to you how this imaginary player lose back his winnings.

It need not happen this way. It may happen indirectly depending on the gambling system you play. You deviate or go on gambling tilt in certain subtle ways such that your play is no longer ‘not encountered’.

This is precisely the reason I do not recommend playing this way if you are going after money as a source . It is acceptable to play this way to brag or for self-gratification, to show off. It is important to understand this concept.
You can see that this method of play is not suitable as a source of money. The unstable nature will somehow make you lose your money back. Because this method of play is not scalable, you must be willing to play as small as possible at all times and win peanuts. Your peanuts are like what Neil Armstrong said when he landed on the moon, “A Small Step for a Man, A Big Leap for Mankind.

If you want more you have to play games with positive expectations.

KEY POINTS
1. Winning peanuts in regular casino games is easy if you can handle smart chasing of losses, not encountered and gambling tilt.
2. The concept of ‘not encountered’ include two parameters, bet spread and time. HP Johnson Guaranteed System optimize both parameters extremely well.
3. Winning in regular casino games is not scalable and you must win as little as you can.
4. Play to win as little as possible just to brag, self-gratification and show off.
5. Winning in regular casino games is a small step for a man, a big leap in mankind.

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Where To Find Holy Grail

Where to Find Holy Grail

Smart Chasing of Losses is not holy grail

In games with negative expectation, smart chasing of losses is the only effective way to win short term. Short term is defined by process, not time.

I have illustrated to you the success story of SF Roulan, Arthur Irwin Bruce and HP Johnson. You can win for several years. To some even a lifetime.
However, it does not mean that their methods are invincible.

Their methods are not holy grail. They will lose when the reverse jackpot hits.
As an analogy, if you have ten digits, it is not easy to strike the jackpot. Conversely. it is also not easy to be hit by the reverse jackpot.

But if you have three digits, it is easy to hit a small jackpot. Conversely, it is also easy to be hit by the reverse jackpot.

There is no holy grail in any games with negative expectation. You use smart chasing of losses to postpone your nemesis. It is possible to win for a lifetime if you start by winning and you understand all these principles I have presented so far.

As a reminder, read again this quote by Bob Stupak

Vegas World casino owner Bob Stupak said, “Having one-thousandth of one percent the worst of it, if he plays long enough, that one-thousandth of one percent will bust the richest man in the world.”

You can find holy grail in situations with positive expectations.

In baccarat, I recommend these two situations:

1. 9-unit bet banker only system. Play only 5% baccarat table.

Entry is PBB. Exit is PPP. Your advantage comes from

(a) banker wins 103 times to player 100 times.
(b) banker streaks together with one-unit win on alternate bets will help you to offset the 5% commission.
(c) You win on zigzag, alternate and whenever banker is strong
(d) You sit out when banker is weak.

As you can see, this is a great system.

2. Tie bet towards the end of the shoes. When you count cards in blackjack, you will notice that the odds fluctuate in both direction, either in favour or against you. However, in tie bet in baccarat, the odds always fluctuate in favour of you. Another great system.

For your information, I invented the above two systems myself.

To be a professional you have to train yourself to spot situations with positive expectations.

You skill level and your belief system will affect the way you play. In other words your playing style.

HOLY GRAIL IS FOUND IN SITUATIONS WITH POSITIVE EXPECTATIONS.

When you play with positive expectations, you can translate your odds into hourly rate.

When you have hourly rate, you can call yourself a professional.

And you pay taxes for your yearly winnings.

If you have any questions, email me at

soondr@gmail.com

Subscribe to Free Gambling Courses

Gamblinghelp provide free gambling courses to help gamblers in recreational gambling, professional gambling, quit gambling.

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How I won US$350 despite losing 31 times

How I won US$350 despite losing 31 times.

I did not lose 31 times in a row. In one of my tourist trip, I started by losing quite badly, won 24 bets, loss 55 bets, but end the series with US$350 profit.

The method I use is adapted from HP Johnson Guaranteed System
The saying is if you have never heard of this system you are not a professional.
The principle behind it is so powerful that all professionals must know.

I have never lost 31 times in a row. My maximum number of times of straight loss in a row is 18.

HP Johnson said this method can handle extreme adverse run even if it is 31 times in a row.
He guaranteed the system because he said the losses were not encountered.
He said the worse adverse run he had encountered was three days in a row before winning streaks overtake the losses.

Let’s explore HP JOHNSON Guaranteed System further:

HP JOHNSON used it successfully in international casinos throughout the world.
He started by explaining why players lose.

“Adverse run causes players to lose out of proportion to their modest win.”

The above statement was mentioned by Chase. However, HP Johnson said the same thing.

HP Johnson guaranteed the system but he wants 10% of the profit of your winnings.

The strength of this system is that the system can withstand extreme adverse run like 31 times in a row, yet come out ahead.
Losses were not encountered. The worse he had encountered were losses three consecutive days in a row before winning streak come on the fourth day.

In my opinion, this method also falls within the category I classify as “Smart Chasing of Losses”.

He uses a method called fixed string. You can start with any string of 14 numbers or even 50 numbers. However, HP Johnson invariably starts with this string of 14 numbers. He says this is more balanced.

This is the string he used.

5 5 5 5 5 5 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 45

There are five “5s” and nine “45s”

You take the first number and the last number.

If won you cancel off the first and last numbers.

Since there are only 14 numbers, seven wins will conclude your series with US$350 win, irrespective of the number of losses. I repeat

SEVEN WINS WILL CONCLUDE YOUR SERIES WITH US$350 WIN, IRRESPECTIVE OF THE NUMBER OF LOSSES.

You have to get this clear before you continue.

Each time you lose you distribute the numbers into the scale. The idea is to keep stakes low and take on extreme adverse run.
This is what happens after your first loss. The first column is your starting string. The second column is after you distribute the numbers into the scale.

5
5
5
5
5 10
45 50
45 50
45 50
45 50
45 50
45 50
45 50
45 50
45 50

Then you bet 55 (first number and last number). The first number is 5 not 10. The last number is 50. Lost again. Your log is now like this.

5 10
5 10
5 10
5 10
5 10
45 50
45 50
45 50
45 50 55
45 50 55
45 50 55
45 50 55
45 50 55
45 50 55

Then you bet 65 (first number plus last number). Lost again. Your log is now like this.

5 10 15
5 10 15
5 10 15
5 10 15
5 10 15
45 50 55
45 50 55
45 50 55
45 50 55
45 50 55
45 50 55
45 50 55 60
45 50 55 60
45 50 55 60

Then you bet 75. (bet first plus last number). You lost. You add 5 into each number, meaning you distribute the scales to keep stake low.

5 10 15 20
5 10 15 20
5 10 15 20
5 10 15 20
5 10 15 20
45 50 55 60
45 50 55 60
45 50 55 60
45 50 55 60
45 50 55 60
45 50 55 60
45 50 55 60 65
45 50 55 60 65
45 50 55 60 65

Your next stake is now 85. Remember bet first plus last number. You lost again.

5 10 15 20 25
5 10 15 20 25
5 10 15 20 25
5 10 15 20 25
5 10 15 20 25
45 50 55 60 65
45 50 55 60 65
45 50 55 60 65
45 50 55 60 65
45 50 55 60 65 70
45 50 55 60 65 70
45 50 55 60 65 70
45 50 55 60 65 70
45 50 55 60 65 70

Your next stake is now 95. You lost. Now you distribute the scale. Add 5 to each number starting from the bottom. Do it yourself. Continue to do this for the next few losses and see what happens.

Now what if you win. Each time you win you cancel off the first string and the last string.
You only need seven hits. You only need seven hits to close the series and you win US$350. This is irrespective of the number of losses you encounter.
Sounds great! So you break the bank. No, there is a catch.
The catch is how HP Johnson split the scale, rebalances the scale and creates virtual partnership play.
So, you continue to split and rebalance the scale until winning streaks overtake the losses.

If you have any questions, or if you would like to learn how to split the scale, re-balance the scale, create virtual partnership play and bankroll requirements, email me at

soondr@gmail.com

My teaching is always free and always will be.

This is how HP Johnson handles the catch.
When there are four strings left, he split the scale whenever the numbers exceed 80 (or 16 units)
For example, now you have

80
80
80
80

The scale will be split into

— 40
— 40
80 40
80 40
80 40
80 40
— 40
— 40

This is to keep stakes low in the event of adverse run
When there are two numbers left he split the scale whenever the number exceeds 150 or 30 units.
If you look at the table above, you will find that eight numbers with 40. So, HP Johnson rebalances the scale.

— 40 15
— 40 15
80 40 15
80 40 30
80 40 40
80 40 55
— 40 55
— 40 55

You should be able to handle these after some intensive practice. In fact, HP Johnson plays three pairs of partnership in all three even odds game in roulette.
I have modified it for baccarat play. I found partnership play is not necessary in baccarat.
Email me at

soondr@gmail.com

if you need further information

My teaching is free and will always be.

Gamblinghelp can help you in

1. Recreational gambling

2. Professional gambling

3. Quit gambling

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For clearer presentation click the pdf file

I want to see the chart in pdf

HP Johnson system

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Ten Tips for Professional Gamblers

Ten tips for professional gamblers.

Smart chasing of losses in a negative expectation game is a concept very little known and badly dealt with by gamblers.

I have described it in my earlier post that for smart chasing of losses to work:

1. player must start by winning
2. that smart chasing of losses is a short term strategy
3. that short term is defined by process not by time.
4. that the method is not scalable because winning is based on ‘not encountered’.

Now, you click this pdf file to see the chart.

Smart Chasing of Losses Flowchart

Study the chart carefully in this context:

AB is a horizontal axis, no odds.

AC is casino odds.

AD represents a player who start by losing. You can see what happen. The player will never catch up under normal playing conditions

AH represents a player who starts by winning. You can see from the chart that the casino odds can easily catch up with him.

How long it takes for the odds to catch up with him is defined by process not time. It depends on whether the player succumb to casino counter-measures as well as his variance if he continue playing.

This is one secret that all successful professional gamblers know but ordinary players do not.

Now, you understand why I say all games with negative expectations are unbeatable long term. As such, they are not suitable for professional gambling.

To play professionally you need to find spots with positive expectation. There are plenty of such spots in professional poker.

Professional poker is my number one recommendation.
The second best is sports betting.
The third best is casino tournaments
The fourth best is casino promotions
The fifth best is card counting in blackjack
The sixth best is tie bet in baccarat towards the end of the shoe.
The seventh best is bet banker only in 5% baccarat.
The eight best is top spinning dice in crabs.
The ninth best is bias wheel in roulette
The tenth best is smart chasing of losses as a short term strategy.

So, the above are the ten tips for professional gamblers

If you have any question email me at

soondr@gmail.com

To learn more subscribe to

Free Gambling Courses.

It is free and will always be:

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Smart Chasing of Losses

Smart Chasing of Losses

How I won $160,000 over 10 months playing baccarat.

I won 160k playing this method over 10 months since retirement from medical practice 10 months ago.

I played in rws and rwgenting.
In rws, I started with $25, bankroll $60k.
In rwgenting, I start with rm50, bankroll 100k.
Win or lose I increase $5 or rm5, ie

25, 30, 35, 40, 45, 50, 55, 60, 65, 70, 75, 80, 85, 90 95, 100, 105, 110, 115……….
Or 50, 55, 60, 65, 70, 75, 80, 85, 90 95, 100, 105, 110, 115…………..

After a series of wins like www or wwlww, I usually pull back to a lower but reasonable level.
I keep one running figure of win-loss in my head (very much like counting cards in blackjack).
When wins overtake losses by a reasonable amount, I closed the session
Bet selection not really important. However, I placed bets based on bias. In others words, I bet what I think has higher chances of hitting.

Over 10 months, I won rm160,000.

Total won about 200,000
Total loss about 40,000.
Only 4 sessions of losses averaging 10,000 per session.
Net won 160,000.

I do not take small losses. I “chase”.
I take moderate losses to avoid big losses.

Analysis:
This method is superior to flat bet. I describe this method as smart chasing of losses.

Smart chasing of losses can enable you to postpone your nemesis. So, the casino is not afraid of this method because they know the odds will finally catch up with you. Your nemesis will come.
My four losses are described as follows:
• One biggest loss of 18 times in a row.
• One series of loss with 9 losses 1 win, 9 losses 1 win, 6 losses 3 wins
• One time of 60 losses 23 wins — cumulatively represented by something like 5 losses 3 wins, 3 losses 1 win, 2 losses 2 wins, 6 losses 1 wins…………..and so on.
• Collections of many series of moderate losses…..7/1, 7/1, 6/1, 5/2, 4/1, 3/1, 3/1, 4/1……..
(7/1 means 7 losses and one win)

Smart chasing of losses can postpone your nemesis because it is possible to lose 18 to 1 but not 180 to 10. Are you clear about it! This is not a holy grail because rare events will catch up with you.
Despite all these I net 160k. In the process, I earned 700 points in rws and 2000 points in rwgenting.

There are many other methods beside the one I mentioned above. Email me if you are keen to know what they are or you can just follow my blog, gamblinghelp.biz. (I’ll tweet later when I can find the time).

I stopped playing baccarat after the casino changed their rules in baccarat, only rm25 and rm50 spread, no more rm5 spread.
Then I switched over to even-odd roulette, Tai Sai, and Mini dice. Because the game is very slow I can only make 50 dollars a day, not enough for my transport, food and lodging.
So, I stopped playing and started this blog to help gamblers, gamblinghelp.biz/wp-blog/.

In this blog, I will help you to achieve what you want in gambling whether it is
• recreational gambling,
• professional gambling or
• quit gambling.

Recommendations.
• Methods of smart chasing losses cannot be used for professional play. I have described in detail one of them. There are nine others that I know of. Casinos are not afraid of you. The reason is you are playing variance. I repeat VARIANCE. Finally, the odds will catch up with you. However, if you are winning there is no harm continue playing. When you lose back, which you will, you have to stop. The odds will always catch up with you. Statistics never lie. That is why casino always love system players, action players and lady luck players. In the zero sum game, casino’s method of taking commissions, rakes or odds are always more effective than your lady luck, system and money management action players. Those who play small are known as fish and those who play big (high rollers) are known as whales.
• In baccarat, I know of two methods that can be used for professional play. You will be banned if the casino staff knows about it. Subscribe to my blog if you want to know all these. My teaching on various topics of my interest and expertise are always free and will always remain free.

(However, consultancy,  professional services and selling of products and third party offers are always at market rate.   If you need any assistance you may email me.)
I can help you on
• Recreational gambling
• Professional gambling
• Quit gambling
My teachings are always free! On all topics of my expertise and interest besides gambling. Terms and conditions are mentioned earlier.

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